Non-linear analysis of traffic flow

被引:37
作者
Nair, AS [1 ]
Liu, JC [1 ]
Rilett, L [1 ]
Gupta, S [1 ]
机构
[1] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Comp Sci, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
来源
2001 IEEE INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS - PROCEEDINGS | 2001年
关键词
phase space embedding; chaos; time delay neural network; Lyapunov exponent; time series prediction;
D O I
10.1109/ITSC.2001.948742
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 [模式识别与智能系统]; 0812 [计算机科学与技术]; 0835 [软件工程]; 1405 [智能科学与技术];
摘要
Traffic flow prediction is an important application of the ITS technology. In this paper, we applied non-linear time-series modeling techniques to analyze a traffic data. Our objective is to investigate the deterministic properties of traffic flow using a nonlinear time series analysis technique. The experiment is performed for inductance loop data collected from the San Antonio freeway system. Our study concludes that the traffic data exhibits chaotic properties and techniques based on phase space dynamics can be used to analyze and predict the traffic flow.
引用
收藏
页码:681 / 685
页数:5
相关论文
共 13 条
[2]
NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION AND SHORT-TERM FREEWAY TRAFFIC FORECASTING [J].
DAVIS, GA ;
NIHAN, NL .
JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING-ASCE, 1991, 117 (02) :178-188
[3]
FLORIO L, 1994, IFAC S TIANJ PRC, P773
[4]
HAYKING S, 1994, NEURAL NETWORKS COMP
[5]
A ROBUST METHOD TO ESTIMATE THE MAXIMAL LYAPUNOV EXPONENT OF A TIME-SERIES [J].
KANTZ, H .
PHYSICS LETTERS A, 1994, 185 (01) :77-87
[6]
Kantz H, 1997, Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
[7]
METHOD TO DISTINGUISH POSSIBLE CHAOS FROM COLORED NOISE AND TO DETERMINE EMBEDDING PARAMETERS [J].
KENNEL, MB ;
ISABELLE, S .
PHYSICAL REVIEW A, 1992, 46 (06) :3111-3118
[8]
DETERMINING EMBEDDING DIMENSION FOR PHASE-SPACE RECONSTRUCTION USING A GEOMETRICAL CONSTRUCTION [J].
KENNEL, MB ;
BROWN, R ;
ABARBANEL, HDI .
PHYSICAL REVIEW A, 1992, 45 (06) :3403-3411
[9]
May A.D., 1990, TRAFFIC FLOW FUNDAME
[10]
Park D., 1999, Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, V14, P357, DOI 10.1111/0885-9507.00154