On the warming in the tropical upper troposphere: Models versus observations

被引:105
作者
Fu, Qiang [1 ,2 ]
Manabe, Syukuro [3 ]
Johanson, Celeste M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[2] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
[3] Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Program, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
关键词
TEMPERATURE TRENDS; VOLCANIC-ERUPTIONS; CLIMATE FEEDBACKS; MSU;
D O I
10.1029/2011GL048101
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) AR4 (Fourth Assessment Report) GCMs (General Circulation Models) predict a tropical tropospheric warming that increases with height, reaches its maximum at similar to 200 hPa, and decreases to zero near the tropical tropopause. This study examines the GCM-predicted maximum warming in the tropical upper troposphere using satellite MSU (microwave sounding unit)-derived deep-layer temperatures in the tropical upper-and lower-middle troposphere for 1979-2010. While satellite MSU/AMSU observations generally support GCM results with tropical deep-layer tropospheric warming faster than surface, it is evident that the AR4 GCMs exaggerate the increase in static stability between tropical middle and upper troposphere during the last three decades. Citation: Fu, Q., S. Manabe, and C. M. Johanson (2011), On the warming in the tropical upper troposphere: Models versus observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L15704, doi:10.1029/2011GL048101.
引用
收藏
页数:6
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