R. A. Fisher on Bayes and Bayes' Theorem

被引：17

作者：

Aldrich, John ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Southampton, Sch Social Sci, Div Econ, Southampton, Hants, England

来源：

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS | 2008年 / 3卷 / 01期

关键词：

Ronald Fisher; Thomas Bayes; Pierre-Simon Laplace; Dennis Lindley; Bayes' Theorem; Inverse probability;

D O I：

10.1214/08-BA306

中图分类号：

O1 [数学];

学科分类号：

0701 ; 070101 ;

摘要：

Ronald Fisher believed that "The theory of inverse probability is founded upon an error, and must be wholly rejected." This note describes how Fisher divided responsibility for the error between Bayes and Laplace. Bayes he admired for formulating the problem, producing a solution and then withholding it; Laplace he blamed for promulgating the theory and for distorting the concept of probability to accommodate the theory. At the end of his life Fisher added a refinement: in the Essay Bayes had anticipated one of Fisher's own fiducial arguments.

引用

页码：161 / 170

页数：10

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