The role of stratospheric minor warmings in producing the total ozone deficiencies over Europe in 1992 and 1993

During 1992 and 1993, record low total ozone values were observed over the middle and high northern latitudes. The ozone data from the long-operating station at Belsk, Poland, have been used to examine their departures from climatological behaviour in 1992 and 1993. It seems that not only do the exceptionally low ozone amounts recorded over the northern mid-latitudes need an explanation but also their occurrence for two years in a row. One of the possible mechanisms which may be responsible for this event is suggested to be connected with the occurrence of stratospheric minor warmings. They occur without a breakdown of the polar vortex but only with the displacement of very cold air towards lower latitudes (as in January 1992 and February 1993). It is known that air masses in the polar vortex have been chemically disturbed and, when they arrive over the sunlit middle latitudes, chemical destruction of ozone is likely to occur. During the periods under study, the strongest negative total ozone deviations correspond to strong negative temperature deviations at 30 hPa and to large potential vorticity values; this points to the presence over Europe of air masses of polar vortex origin. It has been shown that the characteristics of mid-winter stratospheric warmings and the interannual variability of winter-spring total ozone averages at Belsk are associated with each other. Copyright (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd