Are two heads better than one? Monetary policy by committee

被引:145
作者
Blinder, AS [1 ]
Morgan, J
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Univ Calif Berkeley, Haas Sch Business, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[3] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Econ, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
关键词
monetary policy; group decision making;
D O I
10.1353/mcb.2005.0048
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Two experiments were conducted to test the common hypothesis that groups make decisions more slowly than individuals. One of these experiments imitates real-life monetary policy decisions. In both cases, the hypothesis is found wanting: groups are not slower than individuals. In both experiments, we also find that group decisions are on average better than individual decisions. This holds regardless of whether the groups make decisions by unanimity or majority rule. Simple mechanical theories of group decisionmaking-that the group follows its average player, median player, or best player-do not explain the results. Group interactions seem to matter.
引用
收藏
页码:789 / 811
页数:23
相关论文
共 16 条