Residual life predictions for ball bearings based on self-organizing map and back propagation neural network methods

This paper deals with a new scheme for the prediction of a ball bearing's remaining useful life based on self-organizing map (SOM) and back propagation neural network methods. One of the key components needed for effective bearing life prediction is the set-up of an appropriate degradation indicator from a bearing's incipient defect stage to its final failure. This new method is different from the others that have been used in the past, in that it uses the minimum quantisation error (MQE) indicator derived from SOM, which is trained by six vibration features, including a new designed degradation index for performance degradation assessment. Then, using this indicator, back propagation neural networks focusing on the degradation periods can be trained. Thanks to weight application to failure times (WAFT) technology, a useful life prediction model for ball bearings has been developed successfully. Finally, a set of accelerated bearing run-to-failure experiments is carried out, with the experimental results showing that the new proposed methods are greatly superior to those, based on L10 bearing life prediction, currently being used. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.