Who is afraid of Reg FD? The behavior and performance of sell-side analysts following the SEC's Fair Disclosure rules

被引:108
作者
Agrawal, Anup [1 ]
Chadha, Sahiba
Chen, Mark A.
机构
[1] Univ Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USA
[2] Dupont Capital Management, Wilmington, DE USA
[3] Univ Maryland, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1086/508000
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We examine Regulation FD's impact on the accuracy and dispersion of sell-side analysts' earnings forecasts. Using a large sample of quarterly forecasts made over a nearly 10-year period surrounding FD's adoption, we uncover two main sets of findings. First, individual and consensus forecasts become less accurate post-FD, particularly for early forecasts and for smaller companies. Second, forecast dispersion increases post-FD. This effect is stronger for early forecasts and has increased with the passage of time. These results, which are quite robust to alternative empirical methodologies, suggest that there has been a reduction in both selective guidance and forecast quality post-FD.
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页码:2811 / 2834
页数:24
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