What Follows What? Relations between Economic Indicators, Economic Expectations of the Public, and News on the General Economy and Unemployment in Germany, 2002-2011

被引:8
作者
Lischka, Juliane A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Zurich, Div Media Econ & Management, Inst Mass Commun & Media Res, CH-8050 Zurich, Switzerland
基金
瑞士国家科学基金会;
关键词
agenda setting theory; communication effects; broadcasting; tabloid newspaper; business journalism; public opinion; TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS; MEDIA COVERAGE; FINANCIAL CRISIS; AGENDA; PERCEPTIONS; ASYMMETRY; CONSUMER; MODELS; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1177/1077699015574098
中图分类号
G2 [信息与知识传播];
学科分类号
05 ; 0503 ;
摘要
This study aims to understand dynamic agenda-building and agenda-setting processes between real-world indicators, public expectations (PEs), and aggregated news on the general economy and unemployment for the four most popular general news outlets in Germany from 2002 to 2011: two public service, a commercial news show, and a tabloid newspaper. Vector autoregression models and Granger causality tests reveal that (1) news tone (NT) relates to real-world indicators; (2) PEs for the general economy and unemployment are partly set by the tone of news on the general economy, especially during recession times; and (3) PEs can forecast the future real-world economy.
引用
收藏
页码:374 / 398
页数:25
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