Alternative derivations of a rule for early stopping in favor of HO

被引:9
作者
Betensky, RA [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, Boston, MA 02115 USA
关键词
boundary crossing; conditional power; conditional probability ratio test; predictive power; sequential design; stochastic curtailment;
D O I
10.2307/2685608
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
It is often desirable to stop a large clinical trial before its planned end if a null result seems inevitable. This early stopping can save considerable resources. It is especially appealing when an experimental treatment is being compared to a standard treatment. Three procedures for early stopping, all with different interpretations and derivations, are described and shown to produce identical rules for normal data and certain parameters. In some cases, this is unexpected and informative. The procedures differ in which of their parameters are adjusted from the fixed sample values to maintain the desired Type I error in this setting of multiple looks at the data.
引用
收藏
页码:35 / 39
页数:5
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