Multifractality in time series

被引:67
作者
Canessa, E [1 ]
机构
[1] Abdus Salam Int Ctr Theoret Phys, Int Ctr Theoret Phys, I-34100 Trieste, Italy
来源
JOURNAL OF PHYSICS A-MATHEMATICAL AND GENERAL | 2000年 / 33卷 / 19期
关键词
D O I
10.1088/0305-4470/33/19/302
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We apply the concepts of multifractal physics to financial time series in order to characterize the onset of crash for the Standard & Poor 500 (S&P500) stock index x(t). It is found that within the framework of multifractality, the 'analogous' specific heat of the S&P500 discrete price index displays a shoulder to the right of the main peak for low time-lag values. For decreasing T, the presence of the shoulder is a consequence of the peaked, temporal x(t+T) - x(t) fluctuations in this regime. For large time lags (T > 80), we have found that C-q displays typical features of a classical phase transition at a critical point. An example of such dynamic phase transition in a simple economic model system, based on a mapping with multifractality phenomena in random multiplicative processes, is also presented by applying former results obtained with a continuous probability theory for describing scaling measures.
引用
收藏
页码:3637 / 3651
页数:15
相关论文
共 56 条
[1]  
ANDERSON P, 1998, EC EVOLVING COMPLEX
[2]   Direct causal cascade in the stock market [J].
Arneodo, A ;
Muzy, JF ;
Sornette, D .
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B, 1998, 2 (02) :277-282
[3]  
Baumol W.J., 1977, EC THEORY OPERATIONS
[4]   Multifractal expansions and kinetic surface roughening processes [J].
Bershadskii, A .
PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 1998, 58 (02) :2660-2663
[5]   A Langevin approach to stock market fluctuations and crashes [J].
Bouchaud, JP ;
Cont, R .
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B, 1998, 6 (04) :543-550
[6]   A prototype model of stock exchange [J].
Caldarelli, G ;
Marsili, M ;
Zhang, YC .
EUROPHYSICS LETTERS, 1997, 40 (05) :479-484
[7]  
CANESSA E, 1993, PHYS REV E, V47, P5
[8]   A MODEL OF INCOME DISTRIBUTION [J].
Champernowne, D. G. .
ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 1953, 63 (250) :318-351
[9]  
CHAPMAN T, 1998, EUROPHYS NEWS, V29, P4
[10]  
CLEMENTS DL, 1984, INTRO MATH MODELS EC