Changes in the climate and sea ice of the Northern Hemisphere in the 20th and 21st centuries from data of observations and modeling

被引:21
作者
Alekseev, G. V. [1 ]
Danilov, A. I. [1 ]
Kattsov, V. M. [2 ]
Kuz'mina, S. I. [3 ]
Ivanov, N. E. [1 ]
机构
[1] Fed Serv Hydrometeorol & Environm Monitoring, Arctic & Antarctic Res Inst, St Petersburg 199397, Russia
[2] Fed Serv Hydrometeorol & Environm Monitoring, Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, St Petersburg 194021, Russia
[3] Nansen Int Environm & Remote Sensing Ctr, St Petersburg 199034, Russia
基金
俄罗斯基础研究基金会;
关键词
TEMPERATURE;
D O I
10.1134/S0001433809060012
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The shrinking of the area occupied by sea ice in the Northern Hemisphere accelerated at the end of the 1990s, when the record minima of the summer area were successively noted, and its absolute minimum was observed in September 2007. Such a radical decrease is ahead of the projections of global models and provokes interest in the reliability of model calculations of the future of Arctic sea ice. The results of an analysis of the relation between the warming in the Arctic and the ice extent shrinkage from data of observations and modeling by an ensemble of global climate models are presented.
引用
收藏
页码:675 / 686
页数:12
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