Risk assessment model to prioritize sewer pipes inspection in wastewater collection networks

被引:90
作者
Anbari, Mohammad Javad [1 ,2 ]
Tabesh, Massoud [3 ]
Roozbahani, Abbas [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tehran, Sch Civil Engn, Coll Engn, Tehran, Iran
[2] Univ Tabriz, Water Resources Engn, Fac Civil Engn, Tabriz, Iran
[3] Univ Tehran, Sch Civil Engn, Coll Engn, Ctr Excellence Engn & Management Civil Infrastruc, Tehran, Iran
[4] Univ Tehran, Dept Irrigat & Drainage, Coll Aburaihan, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Risk assessment; Bayesian Network; Fuzzy inference system; Inspection priority; Wastewater collection networks; BAYESIAN NETWORKS; DETERIORATION MODELS; MANAGEMENT; CATCHMENT; SYSTEMS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.12.052
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In wastewater systems as one of the most important urban infrastructures, the adverse consequences and effects of unsuitable performance and failure event can sometimes lead to disrupt part of a city functioning. By identifying high failure risk areas, inspections can be implemented based on the system status and thus can significantly increase the sewer network performance. In this study, a new risk assessment model is developed to prioritize sewer pipes inspection using Bayesian Networks (BNs) as a probabilistic approach for computing probability of failure and weighted average method to calculate the consequences of failure values. Finally to consider uncertainties, risk of a sewer pipe is obtained from integration of probability and consequences of failure values using a fuzzy inference system (FIS). As a case study, sewer pipes of a local wastewater collection network in Iran are prioritized to inspect based on their criticality. Results show that majority of sewers (about 62%) has moderate risk, but 12%of sewers are in a critical situation. Regarding the budgetary constraints, the proposed model and resultant risk values are expected to assist wastewater agencies to repair or replace risky sewer pipelines especially in dealing with incomplete and uncertain datasets. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:91 / 101
页数:11
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