Integrated model shows that atmospheric brown clouds and greenhouse gases have reduced rice harvests in India

被引:144
作者
Auffhammer, Maximilian
Ramanathan, V.
Vincent, Jeffrey R.
机构
[1] Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
[2] Univ Calif San Diego, Grad Sch Int Relat & Pacific Studies, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
[3] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Agr & Resource Econ, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
关键词
agricultural impact; air pollution; carbon dioxide warming; climate change; South Asia;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.0609584104
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Previous studies have found that atmospheric brown clouds partially offset the warming effects of greenhouse gases. This finding suggests a tradeoff between the impacts of reducing emissions of aerosols and greenhouse gases. Results from a statistical model of historical rice harvests in India, coupled with regional climate scenarios from a parallel climate model, indicate that joint reductions in brown clouds and greenhouse gases would in fact have complementary, positive impacts on harvests. The results also imply that adverse climate changes due to brown clouds and greenhouse gases contributed to the slowdown in harvest growth that occurred during the past two decades.
引用
收藏
页码:19668 / 19672
页数:5
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