A strong bout of natural cooling in 2008

被引:18
作者
Perlwitz, Judith [1 ,2 ]
Hoerling, Martin [2 ]
Eischeid, Jon [1 ,2 ]
Xu, Taiyi [1 ,2 ]
Kumar, Arun [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
[2] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO 80305 USA
[3] NOAA, Climate Predict Ctr, Camp Springs, MD 20746 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2009GL041188
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
A precipitous drop in North American temperature in 2008, commingled with a decade-long fall in global mean temperatures, are generating opinions contrary to the inferences drawn from the science of climate change. We use an extensive suite of model simulations and appraise factors contributing to 2008 temperature conditions over North America. We demonstrate that the anthropogenic impact in 2008 was to warm the region's temperatures, but that it was overwhelmed by a particularly strong bout of naturallyinduced cooling resulting from the continent's sensitivity to widespread coolness of the tropical and northeastern Pacific sea surface temperatures. The implication is that the pace of North American warming is likely to resume in coming years, and that climate is unlikely embarking upon a prolonged cooling. Citation: Perlwitz, J., M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, T. Xu, and A. Kumar (2009), A strong bout of natural cooling in 2008, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L23706, doi: 10.1029/2009GL041188.
引用
收藏
页数:5
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