Criteria for evaluation of smog forecast systems

被引:3
作者
de Leeuw, FAAM [1 ]
机构
[1] RIVM, NL-3720 BA Bilthoven, Netherlands
关键词
air pollution modelling; forecast; model evaluation; ozone;
D O I
10.1023/A:1006138226145
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Forecasts of air quality provide information to the general public during periods with high levels of air pollution. Criteria for testing the validity and reliability of forecast systems are discussed. As the objectives of a forecast may widely differ (providing information to the public or triggering short-term emission reduction measures) there is not a single evaluation procedure. It is recommended to use a set of performance indicators. The strong year-to-year variability in occurrence of smog episodes makes it necessarily to use several years of data in the evaluation.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 14
页数:14
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