Epistemology and public policy: using a new typology to analyse the paradigm shift in Finnish transport futures studies

被引：37

作者：

Tapio, P ^{[1
]}

Hietanen, O ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Turku Sch Econ & Business Adm, Environm Res Units, Finland Futures Res Ctr, FIN-20521 Turku, Finland

来源：

FUTURES | 2002年 / 34卷 / 07期

基金：

芬兰科学院;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00003-4

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The aim of the article is to present a new typology of paradigms of futures studies with specific focus on decision-making. Possible roles of futurists and other actors in long-term planning and decision-making processes are formed using logical analysis. The resulting seven schools of thought are interpreted in the light of literature of futures studies and planning theory. Connections to the philosophical discussion on the role of knowledge and values in policy recommendations are presented as well. Some futures studies methodological applications are attached to the paradigms. The new typology forms a gradient from technocracy performed by professionals to direct citizen participation. Finally, the paradigm shift of Finnish national transport futures studies is analysed using the new typology. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：597 / 620

页数：24