On smoothing potentially non-stationary climate time series

被引:102
作者
Mann, ME [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22902 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2004GL019569
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
A simple approach to the smoothing of a potentially non-stationary time series is presented which provides an optimal choice among three alternative, readily motivated and easily implemented boundary constraints. This method is applied to the smoothing of the instrumental Northern Hemisphere (NH) annual mean and cold-season North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) time series, yielding an objective estimate of the smoothed decadal-scale variations in these series including long-term trends.
引用
收藏
页码:L072141 / 4
页数:4
相关论文
共 13 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1993, SPECTRAL ANAL PHYS A, DOI [10.1017/cbo9780511622762, DOI 10.1017/CBO9780511622762, 10.1017/CBO9780511622762]
[2]  
Folland CK, 2001, CLIMATE CHANGE 2001: THE SCIENTIFIC BASIS, P99
[3]   Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series [J].
Ghil, M ;
Allen, MR ;
Dettinger, MD ;
Ide, K ;
Kondrashov, D ;
Mann, ME ;
Robertson, AW ;
Saunders, A ;
Tian, Y ;
Varadi, F ;
Yiou, P .
REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 2002, 40 (01) :3-1
[4]  
Jones PD, 1997, INT J CLIMATOL, V17, P1433, DOI 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19971115)17:13<1433::AID-JOC203>3.0.CO
[5]  
2-P
[6]   Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years [J].
Jones, PD ;
New, M ;
Parker, DE ;
Martin, S ;
Rigor, IG .
REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS, 1999, 37 (02) :173-199
[7]  
Mann M., 2003, EOS, V84, DOI [DOI 10.1029/2003EO270003, 10.1029/2003EO270003]
[8]   Global surface temperatures over the past two millennia [J].
Mann, ME ;
Jones, PD .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2003, 30 (15) :5-1
[9]   The value of multiple proxies [J].
Mann, ME .
SCIENCE, 2002, 297 (5586) :1481-1482
[10]  
Park J.J., 1992, Statistics in the Enviroment Earth Sciences, P189