Does the mortality decline promote economic growth?

被引:212
作者
Kalemli-Ozcan, S [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Houston, Dept Econ, Houston, TX 77204 USA
关键词
Malthus; survival probability; fertility; education; population growth;
D O I
10.1023/A:1020831902045
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper analyzes qualitatively and quantitatively the effects of declining mortality rates on fertility, education and economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that if individuals are prudent in the face of uncertainty about child survival, a decline in an exogenous mortality rate reduces precautionary demand for children and increases parental investment in each child. Once mortality is endogenized, population growth becomes a hump-shaped function of income per capita. At low levels of income population growth arises as income per capita rises leading to a Malthusian steady-state equilibrium, whereas at high levels of income population growth declines leading to a sustained growth steady-state equilibrium.
引用
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页码:411 / 439
页数:29
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