Climate change as a predictable surprise

被引:69
作者
Bazerman, Max H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s10584-006-9058-x
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In this article, I analyze climate change as a "predictable surprise," an event that leads an organization or nation to react with surprise, despite the fact that the information necessary to anticipate the event and its consequences was available (Bazerman and Watkins, 2004). I then assess the cognitive, organizational, and political reasons why society fails to implement wise strategies to prevent predictable surprises generally and climate change specifically. Finally, I conclude with an outline of a set of response strategies to overcome barriers to change.
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页码:179 / 193
页数:15
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