Updating the economic cost of large-scale industrial accidents - Application to the historical analysis of accidents

被引:5
作者
Carol, S
Vilchez, JA
Casal, J
机构
[1] PREPERSA, Barcelona 08007, Spain
[2] Univ Politecn Catalunya, Ctr Estudis Risc Tecnol, Inst Estudis Catalans, ETSEIB, E-08028 Barcelona, Spain
关键词
cost; accident; risk;
D O I
10.1016/S0950-4230(99)00053-4
中图分类号
TQ [化学工业];
学科分类号
0817 ;
摘要
This paper analyses the feasibility of applying different update rates of industrial prices to the economic assessments of accidents with special emphasis on those related to the chemical process industry. The advantages and disadvantages of applying this technique to the historical analysis of accidents are analysed and compared with the results obtained with the five most widely used indexes. The results of a general analysis of the historical evolution of the cost of accidents recorded in two prestigious databases are also presented. Valid data are obtained for decision-making with regard to insurance premiums, revaluation of assets and risk management (administration, safety management of large chemical complexes). (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:49 / 55
页数:7
相关论文
共 15 条
[1]  
*AM ASS COST ENG, 1989, COST ENG NOT
[2]  
ARNOLD TH, 1963, CHEM ENG, V70, P143
[3]  
CHILTON CH, 1959, CHEM ENG, V86, P131
[4]  
CHILTON CH, 1966, CHEM ENG, V73, P184
[5]  
KOHN PM, 1978, CHEM ENG-NEW YORK, V85, P189
[6]  
Mahoney D., 1995, LARGE PROPERTY DAMAG
[7]  
MATLEY J, 1985, CHEM ENG-NEW YORK, V92, P75
[8]  
MILLER I, 1986, PROBABILIDAD ESTADIS
[9]  
NORDEN RB, 1969, CHEM ENG-NEW YORK, V76, P134
[10]  
Pintelon L, 1997, CHEM ENG-NEW YORK, V104, P98