Does sovereign debt weaken economic growth? A panel VAR analysis

被引:66
作者
Lof, Matthijs [1 ]
Malinen, Tuomas [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Helsinki, Helsinki Ctr Econ Res, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland
基金
芬兰科学院;
关键词
Public debt; Debt share; GDP growth;
D O I
10.1016/j.econlet.2013.12.037
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We estimate panel vector autoregressions to analyze the highly disputed relationship between sovereign debt and economic growth. Using data on 20 developed countries, we find no evidence for a robust effect of debt on growth, even for higher levels of debt. We do find a significant negative reverse effect of growth on debt, which explains the negative correlation. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:403 / 407
页数:5
相关论文
共 9 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2008, ECONOMETRIC ANAL PAN
[2]   Debt and growth: New evidence for the euro area [J].
Baum, Anja ;
Checherita-Westphal, Cristina ;
Rother, Philipp .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2013, 32 :809-821
[3]  
CALDARA D., 2008, What Are the Effects of Fiscal Shocks? A VARBased Comparative Analysis
[4]  
Herndon Thomas., 2013, Does High Public Debt Consistently Stifle Economic Growth? A Critique of Reinhart and Rogoff
[5]   ESTIMATING VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONS WITH PANEL DATA [J].
HOLTZEAKIN, D ;
NEWEY, W ;
ROSEN, HS .
ECONOMETRICA, 1988, 56 (06) :1371-1395
[6]  
Lof M., 2013, 2013069 WIDER
[7]   BIASES IN DYNAMIC-MODELS WITH FIXED EFFECTS [J].
NICKELL, S .
ECONOMETRICA, 1981, 49 (06) :1417-1426
[8]  
Reinhart CM, 2009, THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT: EIGHT CENTURIES OF FINANCIAL FOLLY, P1
[9]   Growth in a Time of Debt [J].
Reinhart, Carmen M. ;
Rogoff, Kenneth S. .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2010, 100 (02) :573-578