Potential for reducing air-pollutants while achieving 2 °C global temperature change limit target

被引:15
作者
Hanaoka, Tatsuya [1 ]
Akashi, Osamu [2 ]
Fujiwara, Kazuya [3 ]
Motoki, Yuko [3 ]
Hibino, Go [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058506, Japan
[2] Musashino Univ, Koutou, Tokyo 1358181, Japan
[3] Mizuho Informat & Res Inst, Tokyo, Tokyo 1018443, Japan
关键词
Two degree global temperature change limit target; Air-pollutants reductions; GHG reductions; Bottom-up approach;
D O I
10.1016/j.envpol.2014.06.022
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This study analyzes the potential to reduce air pollutants while achieving the 2 degrees C global temperature change limit target above pre-industrial levels, by using the bottom-up optimization model, AIM/Enduse [Global]. This study focuses on; 1) estimating mitigation potentials and costs for achieving 2 degrees C, 2.5 degrees C, and 3 degrees C target scenarios, 2) assessing co-benefits of reducing air pollutants such as NOx, SO2, BC, PM, and 3) analyzing features of sectoral attributions in Annex land Non-Annex I groups of countries. The carbon tax scenario at 50 US$/tCO(2)-eq in 2050 can reduce GHG emissions more than the 3 degrees C target scenario, but a higher carbon price around 400 US$/tCO(2)-eq in 2050 is required to achieve the 2 degrees C target scenario. However, there is also a co-benefit of large reduction potential of air pollutants, in the range of 60-80% reductions in 2050 from the reference scenario while achieving the 2 degrees C target. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:336 / 343
页数:8
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