Characterization of coherent conditional probabilities as a tool for their assessment and extension

被引:68
作者
Coletti, G
Scozzafava, R
机构
[1] UNIV PERUGIA, DIPARTIMENTO MATEMAT, I-06100 PERUGIA, ITALY
[2] UNIV ROMA LA SAPIENZA, DIPARTIMENTO METODI & MODELLI MATEMAT, I-00161 ROME, ITALY
关键词
coherence; conditional probability; probability assessment and extensions;
D O I
10.1142/S021848859600007X
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
A major purpose of this paper is to show the broad import and applicability of the theory of probability as proposed by de Finetti, which differs radically from the usual one (based on a measure-theoretic framework). In particular, with reference to a coherent conditional probability, we prove a characterization theorem, which provides also a useful algorithm for checking coherence of a given assessment. Moreover it allows to deepen and generalise in useful directions de Finetti's extension theorem (dubbed as ''the fundamental theorem of probability''), emphasising its operational aspects in many significant applications.
引用
收藏
页码:103 / 127
页数:25
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