The double pareto-lognormal distribution - A new parametric model for size distributions

被引:252
作者
Reed, WJ
Jorgensen, M
机构
[1] Univ Victoria, Dept Math & Stat, Victoria, BC V8W 3P4, Canada
[2] Univ Waikato, Dept Stat, Hamilton, New Zealand
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
size distribution; Pareto law; power-law distribution; fat tails; EM algorithm; WWW file size; financial returns;
D O I
10.1081/STA-120037438
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A family of probability densities, which has proved useful in modelling the size distributions of various phenomens, including incomes and earnings, human settlement sizes, oil-field Volumes and particle sizes, is introduced. The distribution, named herein as the double Pareto-lognormal or dPlN distribution, arises as that of the state of a geometric Brownian motion (GBM), with lognormally distributed initial state, after an exponentially distributed length of time (or equivalently as the distribution of the killed state of such a GBM with constant killing rate). A number of phenomena can be viewed as resulting from such a process (e.g., incomes, settlement sizes), which explains the good fit. Properties of the distribution are derived and estimation methods discussed. The distribution exhibits Paretian (power-law) behaviour in both tails, and when plotted on logarithmic axes, its density exhibits hyperbolic-type behaviour.
引用
收藏
页码:1733 / 1753
页数:21
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