Deconstructing china's GDP statistics

被引：38

作者：

Holz, CA ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Stanford Univ, Asia Pacific Res Ctr, Stanford, CA 94305 USA

来源：

CHINA ECONOMIC REVIEW | 2004年 / 15卷 / 02期

关键词：

Chinese statistics; national income accounting; System of National Accounts (SNA); household surveys; population statistics;

D O I：

10.1016/j.chieco.2003.11.002

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has on repeated occasions explained in great detail how its GDP statistics are derived from the underlying data. Based on these explanations, this article reconstructs Chinese official household consumption, which accounts for half of GDP. The findings are condemning. Not only do the various official explanations offered between 1997 and 2001 differ from each other, but none allows the researcher to accurately reconstruct household consumption. Furthermore, the relationship between the GDP component household consumption and the underlying data varies from year to year, which suggests that time series comparisons of Chinese GDP may be invalid. (C) 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：164 / 202

页数：39

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