Improved fisheries management could offset many negative effects of climate change

被引：183

作者：

Gaines, Steven D. ^{[1
]}

Costello, Christopher ^{[1
]}

Owashi, Brandon ^{[1
]}

Mangin, Tracey ^{[1
]}

Bone, Jennifer ^{[1
]}

Molinos, Jorge Garcia ^{[2
,3
,4
]}

Burden, Merrick ^{[5
]}

Dennis, Heather ^{[6
]}

Halpern, Benjamin S. ^{[1
,7
,8
]}

Kappel, Carrie V. ^{[7
]}

Kleisner, Kristin M. ^{[5
]}

Ovando, Daniel ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Bren Sch Environm Sci & Management, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

[2] Hokkaido Univ, Arctic Res Ctr, Kita Ku, N21 W11, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0010021, Japan

[3] Hokkaido Univ, Global Inst Collaborat Res & Educ, Global Stn Arctic Res, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0010021, Japan

[4] Hokkaido Univ, Grad Sch Environm Sci, N10W5, Sapporo, Hokkaido 0600810, Japan

[5] Environm Def Fund, New York, NY 10010 USA

[6] San Francisco Bay Conservat & Dev Commiss, 455 Golden Gate Ave,Suite 10600, San Francisco, CA 94102 USA

[7] Natl Ctr Ecol Anal & Synth, 735 State St, Santa Barbara, CA 93101 USA

[8] Imperial Coll London, Silwood Pk Campus,Buckhurst Rd, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England

来源：

SCIENCE ADVANCES | 2018年 / 4卷 / 08期

关键词：

MARINE BIODIVERSITY; RANGE SHIFTS; GAME-THEORY; ABUNDANCE; FLOUNDER; IMPACTS; OCEAN;

D O I：

10.1126/sciadv.aao1378

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

The world's oceans supply food and livelihood to billions of people, yet species' shifting geographic ranges and changes in productivity arising from climate change are expected to profoundly affect these benefits. We ask how improvements in fishery management can offset the negative consequences of climate change; we find that the answer hinges on the current status of stocks. The poor current status of many stocks combined with potentially maladaptive responses to range shifts could reduce future global fisheries yields and profits even more severely than previous estimates have suggested. However, reforming fisheries in ways that jointly fix current inefficiencies, adapt to fisheries productivity changes, and proactively create effective transboundary institutions could lead to a future with higher profits and yields compared to what is produced today.

引用

页数：8

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