The Aquino Administration's Balancing Policy against an Emergent China: Its Domestic and External Dimensions

This article examines why and how small powers balance big powers. One such small power is the Philippines, which despite its military weakness applies a balancing policy on an emergent China relative to the South China Sea imbroglio. Largely, this balancing policy is the upshot of three developments: a) the present Aquino administration's efforts to disassociate itself from the previous Arroyo administration's policy of equi-balancing China and the US; b) China's heavy-handed behaviour in the South China Sea dispute; and c) the willingness of the US to assist the Philippines in constraining an assertive China. In conclusion, the article offers two reasons why this balancing policy is risky and difficult. First, the Philippines needs time and resources to develop the military capability to back its territorial claim in the South China Sea; and second, the US, though supportive of the Philippine position, is wary of triggering a full-blown geo-strategic rivalry with China.