A probabilistic indicator of system stress

被引：171

作者：

Kirschen, DS ^{[1
]}

Jayaweera, D ^{[1
]}

Nedic, DP ^{[1
]}

Allan, RN ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Manchester, Inst Sci & Technol, Manchester M60 1QD, Lancs, England

来源：

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS | 2004年 / 19卷 / 03期

基金：

英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;

关键词：

Monte Carlo methods; power system security; probability; sampling methods;

D O I：

10.1109/TPWRS.2004.831665

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 [电气工程]; 0809 [电子科学与技术];

摘要：

This paper argues that probabilistic techniques give a more reliable indication of the level of stress in a power system and also of its inverse, the level of security. It proposes a technique to calculate a probabilistic indicator of the level of stress in a power system. This technique is based on the establishment of a calibrated scale of reference cases and on the use of correlated sampling in a Monte Carlo simulation. Test results obtained using a large power system are presented.

引用

页码：1650 / 1657

页数：8

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