Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response?

被引:114
作者
Stover, J [1 ]
Walker, N
Garnett, GP
Salomon, JA
Stanecki, KA
Ghys, PD
Grassly, NC
Anderson, RM
Schwartländer, B
机构
[1] Futures Grp Int, Glastonbury, CT 06033 USA
[2] UNAIDS, Joint UN Programme HIV AIDS, Geneva, Switzerland
[3] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, London, England
[4] WHO, CH-1211 Geneva, Switzerland
[5] US Bur Census, Washington, DC 20233 USA
基金
英国惠康基金;
关键词
D O I
10.1016/S0140-6736(02)09339-X
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
HIV/AIDS has reached pandemic proportions, and is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. In 2001, the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS set out several alms with respect to reducing the effect and spread of HIV/AIDS, and an expanded response In low-income and middle-income countries was initiated. Here we examine the potential effect of the expanded global response based on analyses of epidemiological data, of mathematical models of HIV-1 transmission, and a review of the impact of prevention interventions on risk behaviours. Analyses suggest that If the successes achieved in some countries in prevention of transmission can be expanded to a global scale by 2005, about 29 million new Infections could be prevented by 2010.
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页码:73 / 77
页数:5
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