Effects of vegetative variation on weaning success, overwinter survival, and social group density in golden marmots (Marmota caudata aurea)

We studied the effects of food resources on weaning success, overwinter survival, and social group density in golden marmots (Marmota caudata aurea), an Old World sciurid rodent. End-of-season standing crop, a measure of seasonal productivity, varied between marmot groups but seemed repeatable between years. We adjusted some of our measurements of potential food availability by marmot preferences because faecal analysis suggested that marmots foraged selectively. Some, but not all, measured fitness parameters were associated with variation in food availability. The probability of weaning young was associated with overall food availability the previous year, and there was a significant positive relationship between the early-season food resources and the proportion of years in which a group reproduced. Weaning date, a correlate of subsequent juvenile overwinter survival, was associated with overall food availability in the same year. Non-juvenile overwinter survival was weakly associated with food availability. Finally, marmot density was not associated with the availability of food resources. We suggest that obligate social behaviour may limit the degree to which demographic factors can track environmental variation.