Changes in daily temperature and precipitation extremes in central and south Asia

被引:398
作者
Tank, A. M. G. Klein
Peterson, T. C.
Quadir, D. A.
Dorji, S.
Zou, X.
Tang, H.
Santhosh, K.
Joshi, U. R.
Jaswal, A. K.
Kolli, R. K.
Sikder, A. B.
Deshpande, N. R.
Revadekar, J. V.
Yeleuova, K.
Vandasheva, S.
Faleyeva, M.
Gomboluudev, P.
Budhathoki, K. P.
Hussain, A.
Afzaal, M.
Chandrapala, L.
Anvar, H.
Amanmurad, D.
Asanova, V. S.
Jones, P. D.
New, M. G.
Spektorman, T.
机构
[1] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, NL-3730 AE De Bilt, Netherlands
[2] Natl Climat Ctr, Climate Anal Branch, Asheville, NC 28801 USA
[3] SAARC Meteorol Res Ctr, Dhaka 1209, Bangladesh
[4] Dept Energy, Hydromet Serv Div, Meteorol Sect, Thimphu, Bhutan
[5] Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
[6] Meteorol Bur Qinghai Prov, Xining 810001, Peoples R China
[7] Indian Meteorol Dept, New Delhi, India
[8] Natl Data Ctr, India Meteorol Dept, Pune, Maharashtra, India
[9] Indian Inst Trop Meteorol, Pune, Maharashtra, India
[10] Climate Dept Kazhydromet, Alma Ata, Kazakhstan
[11] Hydrometeorol Adm, Bishkek 720017, Kyrgyzstan
[12] Inst Meteorol & Hydrol, Ulaanbaatar 46, Mongolia
[13] Dept Hydrol & Meteorol, Kathmandu, Nepal
[14] Pakistan Meteorol Dept, Islamabad, Pakistan
[15] Dept Meteorol, Colombo 7, Sri Lanka
[16] Agcy Hydrometeorol, Dushanbe, Tajikistan
[17] Res & Prod Ctr Ecol Monitoring, Ashkhabad, Turkmenistan
[18] Univ E Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Climat Res Unit, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[19] Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3TB, England
[20] Hydrometeorol Res Inst, Dept Climate Res & Monitoring, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2005JD006316
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Changes in indices of climate extremes are studied on the basis of daily series of temperature and precipitation observations from 116 meteorological stations in central and south Asia. Averaged over all stations, the indices of temperature extremes indicate warming of both the cold tail and the warm tail of the distributions of daily minimum and maximum temperature between 1961 and 2000. For precipitation, most regional indices of wet extremes show little change in this period as a result of low spatial trend coherence with mixed positive and negative station trends. Relative to the changes in the total amounts, there is a slight indication of disproportionate changes in the precipitation extremes. Stations with near-complete data for the longer period of 1901-2000 suggest that the recent trends in extremes of minimum temperature are consistent with long-term trends, whereas the recent trends in extremes of maximum temperature are part of multidecadal climate variability.
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