Long-term potential for tropical-forest degradation due to deforestation and fires in the Brazilian Amazon

被引:12
作者
Cardoso, Manoel [1 ]
Nobre, Carlos [1 ]
Sampaio, Gilvan [1 ]
Hirota, Marina [1 ]
Valeriano, Dalton [1 ]
Camara, Gilberto [1 ]
机构
[1] Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12630000 Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil
关键词
Amazon; deforestation; degradation; tropical forest; fire;
D O I
10.2478/s11756-009-0076-9
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Biome models of the global climate-vegetation relationships indicate that most of the Brazilian Amazon has potential for being covered by tropical forests. From current land-use processes observed in the region, however, substantial deforestation and fire activity have been verified in large portions of the region, particularly along the Arc of Deforestation. In a first attempt to evaluate the long-term potential for tropical-forest degradation due to deforestation and fires in the Brazilian Amazon, we analysed large-scale data on fire activity and climate factors that drive the distribution of tropical forests in the region. The initial analyses and results from this study lead to important details on the relations between these quantities and have important implications for building future parameterizations of the vulnerability of tropical forests in the region.
引用
收藏
页码:433 / 437
页数:5
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