Sonographic cervical length in singleton pregnancies with intact membranes presenting with threatened preterm labor

Objective Less than 10% of women presenting with preterm contractions progress to active labor and delivery. This study investigates whether cervical length measurements by ultrasound can discriminate between true and false labor in women presenting with threatened preterm labor. Methods Cervical length was measured by transvaginal ultrasound in 253 women with singleton pregnancies presenting with painful uterine contractions at a median age of 31 (range, 24-35) weeks of gestation. Women presenting in active labor, defined by the presence of cervical dilatation of greater than or equal to 3 cm, those with ruptured membranes and those that underwent prior or subsequent cervical cerclage were excluded from the study. The clinical management was determined by the attending obstetrician without taking into account the cervical length. Primary outcome of the study was delivery within 7 days of presentation based on the results of randomized studies on the use of tocolytics in women with preterm labor that reported a prolongation of pregnancy by 7 days. Results Delivery within 7 days of presentation occurred in 21/253 (8.3%) pregnancies and this was inversely related to cervical length. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves established a cervical length of 15 min as the most relevant cut-off level for the prediction of preterm delivery within 7 days. In 217 cases the cervical length was greater than or equal to 15 mm and only four of these (1.8%) delivered within 7 days. In the 36 women with cervical length < 15 mm, delivery occurred in 17 (47.2%) within 7 days. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that significant independent contribution in the prediction of delivery within 7 days was provided by cervical length, contraction frequency at presentation, previous history of preterm delivery and vaginal bleeding. There was no significant contribution from gestation at presentation, ethnic origin, maternal age, parity, cigarette smoking or the administration of tocolysis, antibiotics or steroids. Similar results were shown in a subanalysis of 162 patients presenting at a gestational age below 32 weeks: 9119 patients (47.4%) with a cervical length below IS mm delivered within 7 days compared to 31143 (2.1%) with a cervical length >= 15 mm. Univariate as well as multivariate analyses confirmed cervical length to be a significant independent predictor of delivery within 7 days in this population. Conclusions Sonographic measurement of cervical length helps to avoid overdiagnosis of preterm labor in women with preterm contractions and intact membranes. Copyright (C) 2004 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.