Reversal of the trend in global anthropogenic sulfur emissions

被引:137
作者
Stern, David I. [1 ]
机构
[1] Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Dept Econ, Troy, NY 12180 USA
来源
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2006年 / 16卷 / 02期
关键词
sulfate aerosols; estimates; emissions; trends;
D O I
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.01.001
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Global anthropogenic sulfur emissions increased until the late 1980s. Existing estimates for 1995 and 2000 show a moderate decline from 1990 to 1995 or relative stability throughout the decade. This paper combines previously published data and new econometric estimates to show a 22% decline over the decade to a level not seen since the mid-1960s. The decline is evident in North America, Western and Eastern Europe, and in the last few years in East and South Asia. If this new trend is maintained, local air pollution problems will be ameliorated but global warming may be somewhat exacerbated. (C) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:207 / 220
页数:14
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