Testing for density dependence allowing for weather effects

被引:32
作者
Rothery, P [1 ]
Newton, I [1 ]
Dale, L [1 ]
Wesolowski, T [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV WROCLAW,DEPT AVIAN ECOL,PL-50335 WROCLAW,POLAND
关键词
density dependence; weather effects; autoregressive model; statistical power; butterfly and songbird populations;
D O I
10.1007/s004420050340
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
A test for density dependence in time-series data allowing for weather effects is presented. The test is based on a discrete time autoregessive model for changes iu population density with a covariate for the effects of weather. The distribution of the test statistic on the null hypothesis of density independence is obtained by parametric boot strapping, A computer simulation exercise is used to demonstrate the gain in statistical power by allowing for weather effects. Application of the method to time-series data on three species of butterflies and two species of songbirds showed stronger evidence of density dependence than two standard tests.
引用
收藏
页码:518 / 523
页数:6
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