Maximum entropy sampling and optimal Bayesian experimental design

被引:132
作者
Sebastiani, P
Wynn, HP
机构
[1] Open Univ, Dept Stat, Milton Keynes MK7 6AA, Bucks, England
[2] Univ Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, W Midlands, England
关键词
Bayesian optimal design; finite mixture; Shannon entropy;
D O I
10.1111/1467-9868.00225
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
When Shannon entropy is used as a criterion in the optimal design of experiments, advantage can be taken of the classical identity representing the joint entropy of parameters and observations as the sum of the marginal entropy of the observations and the preposterior conditional entropy of the parameters. Following previous work in which this idea was used in spatial sampling, the method is applied to standard parameterized Bayesian optimal experimental design. Under suitable conditions, which include non-linear as well as linear regression models, it is shown in a few steps that maximizing the marginal entropy of the sample is equivalent to minimizing the preposterior entropy, the usual Bayesian criterion, thus avoiding the use of conditional distributions. It is shown using this marginal formulation that under normality assumptions every standard model which has a two-point prior distribution on the parameters gives an optimal design supported on a single point. Other results include a new asymptotic formula which applies as the error variance is large and bounds on support size.
引用
收藏
页码:145 / 157
页数:13
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