Contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States

被引:451
作者
Schimel, D
Melillo, J
Tian, HQ
McGuire, AD
Kicklighter, D
Kittel, T
Rosenbloom, N
Running, S
Thornton, P
Ojima, D
Parton, W
Kelly, R
Sykes, M
Neilson, R
Rizzo, B
机构
[1] Max Planck Inst Biogeochem, D-07701 Jena, Germany
[2] Marine Biol Lab, Ctr Ecosyst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[3] Univ Alaska, US Geol Survey, Alaska Cooperat Fish & Wildlife Res Unit, Fairbanks, AK 99775 USA
[4] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
[5] Univ Montana, Missoula, MT 59812 USA
[6] Colorado State Univ, NREL, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
[7] Univ Lund, Ekol Huset, S-22362 Lund, Sweden
[8] Oregon State Univ, Forest Sci Lab, USDA, US Forest Serv, Corvallis, OR 97333 USA
[9] Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.287.5460.2004
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) and climate on net carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems of the conterminous United States for the period 1895-1993 were modeled with new, detailed historical climate information. For the period 1980-1993, results from an ensemble of three models agree within 25%, simulating a land carbon sink from CO2 and climate effects of 0.08 gigaton of carbon per year. The best estimates of the total sink from inventory data are about three times larger, suggesting that processes such as regrowth on abandoned agricultural land or in forests harvested before 1980 have effects as large as or larger than the direct effects of CO2 and climate. The modeled sink varies by about 100% from year to year as a result of climate variability.
引用
收藏
页码:2004 / 2006
页数:3
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