The 52-week high and momentum investing

被引:406
作者
George, TJ
Hwang, CY [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Houston, Bauer Coll Business, Houston, TX 77004 USA
[2] Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business & Management, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
D O I
10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00695.x
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
When coupled with a stock's current price, a readily available piece of information-the 52-week high price-explains a large portion of the profits from momentum investing. Nearness to the 52-week high dominates and improves upon the forecasting power of past returns (both individual and industry returns) for future returns. Future returns forecast using the 52-week high do not reverse in the long run. These results indicate that short-term momentum and long-term reversals are largely separate phenomena, which presents a challenge to current theory that models these aspects of security returns as integrated components of the market's response to news.
引用
收藏
页码:2145 / 2176
页数:32
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