Income projections for climate change research: A framework based on human capital dynamics

被引：171

作者：

Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] WU, WIC, IIASA, Vienna, Austria

[2] WIFO, Vienna, Austria

来源：

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2017年 / 42卷

关键词：

Human capital; Economic growth; Income projections; Climate change; EDUCATIONAL-ATTAINMENT; SCENARIO FRAMEWORK; AGE; COUNTRIES; SEX;

D O I：

10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.02.012

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The quantitative assessment of the global effects of climate change requires the construction of income projections spanning large time horizons. Exploiting the robust link between educational attainment, age structure dynamics and economic growth, we use population projections by age, sex and educational attainment to obtain income per capita paths to the year 2100 for 144 countries. Such a framework offers a powerful, consistent methodology which can be used to study the future environmental challenges and to address potential policy reactions. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：226 / 236

页数：11

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