Best estimation of a binary outcome in the sense of KS and AROC

被引:1
作者
Appel, MJ [1 ]
机构
[1] Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp, Milwaukee, WI 53201 USA
关键词
AROC; ROC curve; Kolmogorov-Smirnov separation; regression;
D O I
10.1081/STA-120006066
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Let (Z, Y) be a real random vector with Y binary. It is shown that the conditional probability f*(Z) = Pr(Y = 1\sigma(Z)) maximizes uniform Kolmogorov-Smirnov separation of false from true negative rates over all Q(Z)-measurable functions. An inequality is derived which provides conditions under which f* also maximizes the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AROC).
引用
收藏
页码:1251 / 1257
页数:7
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