Do earthquakes exhibit self-organized criticality?

被引:56
作者
Yang, XS
Du, SM
Ma, J
机构
[1] Calif Air Resources Board, Planning & Tech Support Div, Sacramento, CA 95812 USA
[2] China Earthquake Adm, Inst Geol, State Key Lab Earthquake Dynam, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevLett.92.228501
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
If earthquakes are phenomena of self-organized criticality (SOC), statistical characteristics of the earthquake time series should be invariant after the sequence of events in an earthquake catalog are randomly rearranged. In this Letter we argue that earthquakes are unlikely phenomena of SOC because our analysis of the Southern California Earthquake Catalog shows that the first-return-time probability P-M(T) is apparently changed after the time series is rearranged. This suggests that the SOC theory should not be used to oppose the efforts of earthquake prediction.
引用
收藏
页码:228501 / 1
页数:4
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