Predicting future emissions based on characteristics of stocks

被引：106

作者：

van der Voet, E

Kleijn, R

Huele, R

Ishikawa, M

Verkuijlen, E

机构：

[1] Leiden Univ, Ctr Environm Sci, CML, NL-2300 RA Leiden, Netherlands

[2] Tokyo Univ Fisheries, Dept Food Sci & Technol, Minato Ku, Tokyo 1088477, Japan

[3] Univ Amsterdam, Interfac Dept Environm Sci, IVAM, NL-1018 VZ Amsterdam, Netherlands

来源：

ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS | 2002年 / 41卷 / 02期

关键词：

SFA; MFA; stocks; dynamic models; forecasts; waste and emissions;

D O I：

10.1016/S0921-8009(02)00028-9

中图分类号：

Q14 [生态学（生物生态学）];

学科分类号：

071012 ; 0713 ;

摘要：

Future flows of emissions and waste from society to the environment can be estimated either as a percentage of the future stock or as a delayed input. The first approach is based on a static model where concentration is the driving force and is generally preferable for ease of calculation. The second approach is based on a dynamic model, where ageing is the driving force and knowledge of the life span is needed. We present the conditions under which the calculations based on a static model will produce acceptable approximations for a dynamic system. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：223 / 234

页数：12

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