A model of fishing vessel accident probability

被引：59

作者：

Jin, D

Kite-Powell, HL

Thunberg, E

Solow, AR

Talley, WK

机构：

[1] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Marine Policy Ctr, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA

[2] Old Dominion Univ, Dept Econ, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA

[3] Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Social Sci Branch, NE Fisheries Sci Ctr, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH | 2002年 / 33卷 / 04期

关键词：

commercial fishing; fishing vessel; vessel accident probability; statistical analysis; logit regression model;

D O I：

10.1016/S0022-4375(02)00050-6

中图分类号：

TB18 [人体工程学];

学科分类号：

1201 ;

摘要：

Problem: Commercial fishing is one of the least safe occupations. Method: The researchers develop a fishing vessel accident probability model for fishing areas off the northeastern United States using logit regression and daily data from 1981 to 1993. Results: The results indicate that fishing vessel accident probability declined over the study period. Higher wind speed is associated with greater accident probability. Medium-size vessels have the highest accident probability, while small vessels have the lowest. Within the study region, accident probability is lower in the southwestern section than in the northeastern section. Accidents are likely to occur closer to shore than offshore. Accident probability is lowest in spring. Impact on Industry: The probability model is an important building block in development and quantitative assessment of management mechanisms related to safety in the commercial fishing industry. (C) 2002 National Safety Council and Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：497 / 510

页数：14

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Jin, D ;

Kite-Powell, H ;

Talley, W .

JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH, 2001, 32 (02) :209-228

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