Dynamics of sea level rise and coastal flooding on a changing landscape

被引：154

作者：

Bilskie, M. V. ^{[1
]}

Hagen, S. C. ^{[1
]}

Medeiros, S. C. ^{[1
]}

Passeri, D. L. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2014年 / 41卷 / 03期

基金：

美国海洋和大气管理局;

关键词：

sea level rise; storm surge; hydrodynamics; Hurricane Katrina; flooding; landscape; GULF-OF-MEXICO; STORM-SURGE; POTENTIAL IMPACT; CLIMATE-CHANGE; HURRICANES; LOUISIANA; WETLANDS; WAVES; ZONES; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1002/2013GL058759

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Standard approaches to determining the impacts of sea level rise (SLR) on storm surge flooding employ numerical models reflecting present conditions with modified sea states for a given SLR scenario. In this study, we advance this paradigm by adjusting the model framework so that it reflects not only a change in sea state but also variations to the landscape (morphologic changes and urbanization of coastal cities). We utilize a numerical model of the Mississippi and Alabama coast to simulate the response of hurricane storm surge to changes in sea level, land use/land cover, and land surface elevation for past (1960), present (2005), and future (2050) conditions. The results show that the storm surge response to SLR is dynamic and sensitive to changes in the landscape. We introduce a new modeling framework that includes modification of the landscape when producing storm surge models for future conditions. Key Points <list list-type="bulleted"> <list-item id="grl51352-li-0001">Storm surge response to climate change impacts is dynamic <list-item id="grl51352-li-0002">A framework for constructing dynamic assessments of SLR is developed

引用

页码：927 / 934

页数：8

共 34 条

[1] A new assessment of the error budget of global mean sea level rate estimated by satellite altimetry over 1993-2008 [J].

Ablain, M. ;

Cazenave, A. ;

Valladeau, G. ;

Guinehut, S. .

OCEAN SCIENCE, 2009, 5 (02) :193-201

[2]

[Anonymous], 2007, CLIMATE CHANGE 2007

[3] Sea-Level Rise Effects on Storm Surge and Nearshore Waves on the Texas Coast: Influence of Landscape and Storm Characteristics [J].

Atkinson, John ;

Smith, Jane McKee ;

Bender, Christopher .

JOURNAL OF WATERWAY PORT COASTAL AND OCEAN ENGINEERING, 2013, 139 (02) :98-117

[4]

BECKLEY BD, 2007, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V34, DOI DOI 10.1029/2007GL030002

[5] A High-Resolution Coupled Riverine Flow, Tide, Wind, Wind Wave, and Storm Surge Model for Southern Louisiana and Mississippi. Part I: Model Development and Validation [J].

Bunya, S. ;

Dietrich, J. C. ;

Westerink, J. J. ;

Ebersole, B. A. ;

Smith, J. M. ;

Atkinson, J. H. ;

Jensen, R. ;

Resio, D. T. ;

Luettich, R. A. ;

Dawson, C. ;

Cardone, V. J. ;

Cox, A. T. ;

Powell, M. D. ;

Westerink, H. J. ;

Roberts, H. J. .

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2010, 138 (02) :345-377

[6]

Byrnes M.R., 1991, GCSSEPM Foundation Twelfth Annual Research Conference Program and Abstracts, P43

[7] Sea-Level Rise from the Late 19th to the Early 21st Century [J].

Church, John A. ;

White, Neil J. .

SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS, 2011, 32 (4-5) :585-602

[8]

Davis RA, 1997, J COASTAL RES, V13, P595

[9] Modeling hurricane waves and storm surge using integrally-coupled, scalable computations [J].

Dietrich, J. C. ;

Zijlema, M. ;

Westerink, J. J. ;

Holthuijsen, L. H. ;

Dawson, C. ;

Luettich, R. A., Jr. ;

Jensen, R. E. ;

Smith, J. M. ;

Stelling, G. S. ;

Stone, G. W. .

COASTAL ENGINEERING, 2011, 58 (01) :45-65

[10] Impact assessment of sea-level rise and hazardous storms on coasts and estuaries using integrated processes model [J].

Ding, Yan ;

Kuiry, Soumendra Nath ;

Elgohry, Moustafa ;

Jia, Yafei ;

Altinakar, Mustafa S. ;

Yeh, Keh-Chia .

OCEAN ENGINEERING, 2013, 71 :74-95

← 1 2 3 4 →