World water dynamics: global modeling of water resources

被引:10
作者
Simonovic, SP [1 ]
机构
[1] UWO, Civ & Environm Engn, London, ON, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
water resources; global modeling; system dynamics; water balance;
D O I
10.1006/jema.2002.0585
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The growing scarcity of fresh and clean water is among the most important issues facing civilization in the 21st century. Despite the growing attention to a chronic, pernicious crisis in world's water resources our ability to correctly assess and predict global water availability, use and balance is still quite limited. An attempt is documented here in modeling global world water resources using system dynamics approach. Water resources sector (quantity and quality) is integrated with five sectors that drive industrial growth: population; agriculture; economy; nonrenewable resources; and persistent pollution. WorldWater model is developed on the basis of the last version of World3 model. Simulations of world water dynamics with, WorldWater indicate that there is a strong relationship between the world water resources and future industrial growth of the world. It is also shown that the water pollution is the most important future water issue on the global level. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:249 / 267
页数:19
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