Substantial increase in concurrent droughts and heatwaves in the United States

被引:485
作者
Mazdiyasni, Omid [1 ]
AghaKouchak, Amir [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ctr Hydrometeorol & Remote Sensing, Irvine, CA 92697 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 美国海洋和大气管理局;
关键词
climate change; drought; heatwave; compound climate extremes; concurrent extremes; 2003; HEAT-WAVE; CLIMATE EXTREMES; EUROPE; PRECIPITATION; IMPACTS; SCIENCE; DATASET;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.1422945112
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
A combination of climate events (e.g., low precipitation and high temperatures) may cause a significant impact on the ecosystem and society, although individual events involved may not be severe extremes themselves. Analyzing historical changes in concurrent climate extremes is critical to preparing for and mitigating the negative effects of climatic change and variability. This study focuses on the changes in concurrences of heatwaves and meteorological droughts from 1960 to 2010. Despite an apparent hiatus in rising temperature and no significant trend in droughts, we show a substantial increase in concurrent droughts and heatwaves across most parts of the United States, and a statistically significant shift in the distribution of concurrent extremes. Although commonly used trend analysis methods do not show any trend in concurrent droughts and heatwaves, a unique statistical approach discussed in this study exhibits a statistically significant change in the distribution of the data.
引用
收藏
页码:11484 / 11489
页数:6
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