Why use one model? An approach for encompassing model uncertainty and improving best practice

被引:15
作者
Fisher, BEA
Ireland, MP
Boyland, DT
Critten, SP
机构
[1] Risk & Forecasting Enviornm Agcy, Environm Policy Ctr, Reading RG1 8DQ, Berks, England
[2] Mott MacDonald, Brighton BN1 4FY, E Sussex, England
关键词
D O I
10.1023/A:1020921318284
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
There has been some discussion within the UK modelling community regarding the preferred choice of dispersion model for assessing the air quality impact of elevated point sources, each of which is reported to perform better than the other in certain circumstances. Coupled to this is the growing acceptance within the modelling community to include some recognition of model uncertainty in its reporting. As computer processing speeds increase further, this paper considers the possibility of using more than one model and highlights some of the advantages in doing so.
引用
收藏
页码:291 / 299
页数:9
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