Scenario types and techniques:: Towards a user's guide

被引：803

作者：

Borjeson, Lena

Hojer, Mattlas ^{[1
]}

Dreborg, Karl-Henrik

Ekvall, Tomas

Finnveden, Goran

机构：

[1] Royal Inst Technol, KTH, Div Environm Strategies Res, FMS, SE-10044 Stockholm, Sweden

[2] Swedish Def Res Agcy, Stockholm, Sweden

[3] Chalmers Univ Technol, Dept Energy & Environm, S-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden

来源：

FUTURES | 2006年 / 38卷 / 07期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/j.futures.2005.12.002

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Various scenario typologies have been suggested in attempts to make the field of futures studies easier to overview. Our typology is based on the scenario user's need to know what will happen, what can happen, and/or how a predefined target can be achieved. We discuss the applicability of various generating, integrating and consistency techniques for developing scenarios that provide the required knowledge. The paper is intended as a step towards a guide as to how scenarios can be developed and used. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：723 / 739

页数：17

共 43 条

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