Reserve Setting and Steady-State Security Assessment Using Wind Power Uncertainty Forecast: A Case Study

被引:46
作者
Bessa, Ricardo J. [1 ,2 ]
Matos, Manuel A. [1 ,2 ]
Costa, Ivo C. [1 ,2 ]
Bremermann, Leonardo [1 ,2 ]
Franchin, Ivan Gustavo [1 ,2 ]
Pestana, Rui [3 ]
Machado, Nelio [3 ]
Waldl, Hans-Peter [4 ]
Wichmann, Christian [4 ]
机构
[1] INESC TEC INESC Technol & Sci, P-4200465 Oporto, Portugal
[2] Univ Porto, P-4200465 Oporto, Portugal
[3] REN, P-1749061 Lisbon, Portugal
[4] Overspeed GmbH & Co, D-26129 Oldenburg, Germany
关键词
Congestion; fuzzy power flow; probabilistic forecasts; wind power; reserve; risk; system operator; PREDICTION; FLOW;
D O I
10.1109/TSTE.2012.2199340
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This paper reports results and an evaluation methodology from two new decision-aid tools that were demonstrated at a Transmission System Operator (REN, Portugal) during several months in the framework of the E. U. project Anemos. plus. The first tool is a probabilistic method intended to support the definition of the operating reserve requirements. The second is a fuzzy power flow tool that identifies possible congestion situations and voltage violations in the transmission network. Both tools use as input probabilistic wind power predictions.
引用
收藏
页码:827 / 836
页数:10
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