Is the intensification of precipitation extremes with global warming better detected at hourly than daily resolutions?

被引:162
作者
Barbero, R. [1 ]
Fowler, H. J. [1 ]
Lenderink, G. [2 ]
Blenkinsop, S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Newcastle Univ, Sch Civil Engn & Geosci, Newcastle Upon Tyne, Tyne & Wear, England
[2] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst, De Bilt, Netherlands
基金
欧洲研究理事会;
关键词
hourly precipitation extremes; climate change; trends; INTENSE PRECIPITATION; HEAVY-PRECIPITATION; HOMOGENEITY TEST; UNITED-STATES; TRENDS; TEMPERATURE; RAINFALL; FREQUENCY; EVENTS; CLIMATOLOGY;
D O I
10.1002/2016GL071917
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Although it has been documented that daily precipitation extremes are increasing worldwide, faster increases may be expected for subdaily extremes. Here after a careful quality control procedure, we compared trends in hourly and daily precipitation extremes using a large network of stations across the United States (U.S.) within the 1950-2011 period. A greater number of significant increasing trends in annual and seasonal maximum precipitation were detected from daily extremes, with the primary exception of wintertime. Our results also show that the mean percentage change in annual maximum daily precipitation across the U.S. per global warming degree is similar to 6.9%degrees C-1 (in agreement with the Clausius-Clapeyron rate) while lower sensitivities were observed for hourly extremes, suggesting that changes in the magnitude of subdaily extremes in response to global warming emerge more slowly than those for daily extremes in the climate record.
引用
收藏
页码:974 / 983
页数:10
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